Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Cleveland Rockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Rockers +17 (73-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Harrison * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Slobodanka Tuvic * | 13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Edniesha Curry | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Edwina Brown | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Rockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penny Taylor * | 35 | 11-15 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| LaToya Thomas * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Merlakia Jones | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Rizzotti | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter