Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +15 (69-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Allison Feaster * | 34 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Rushia Brown * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Teana Miller | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tynesha Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marla Brumfield | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rita Williams | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sun Min Jung | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tonya Massaline | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter