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2003-07-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.3 โœ— (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Mystics -1 (91-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 45 9-21 5-11 7-7 6 7 2 2 2 30 24 -
Kristen Rasmussen * 37 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 4 8 3 -
Natalie Williams * 33 8-12 0-0 5-6 13 2 2 0 1 21 25 -
Nikki McCray * 32 2-8 2-4 0-0 0 4 0 1 0 6 3 -
Coquese Washington * 31 7-11 4-8 0-0 4 7 1 0 3 18 16 -
Stephanie White 20 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Kelly Schumacher 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Bridget Pettis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Coretta Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sonja Henning 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chamique Holdsclaw * 44 9-18 0-0 10-11 15 7 2 0 1 28 33 -
Stacey Dales * 40 4-5 1-1 3-4 2 4 0 1 1 12 13 -
Coco Miller * 33 4-9 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
Annie Burgess * 25 2-4 2-2 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 7 8 -
Murriel Page * 13 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Asjha Jones 41 8-18 0-0 5-6 3 4 1 3 4 21 10 -
Jocelyn Penn 14 3-4 0-0 1-4 1 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Aiysha Smith 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
Kiesha Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter