Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -1 (91-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 45 | 9-21 | 5-11 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Coquese Washington * | 31 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Stephanie White | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 44 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 33 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 40 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Annie Burgess * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 41 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Jocelyn Penn | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter