Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 38 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Coquese Washington * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephanie White | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Leigh Aziz | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 37 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 13-13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Stacey Dales * | 37 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Annie Burgess * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Murriel Page * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Helen Luz | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aiysha Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jocelyn Penn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zuzana Zirkova | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter