Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +14 (67-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vickie Johnson * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tari Phillips * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Elena Baranova * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Crystal Robinson * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Lindsey Yamasaki | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Linda Frohlich | 12 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Edna Campbell * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter