Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +17 (82-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna DeForge * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lisa Harrison * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Slobodanka Tuvic * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Edniesha Curry | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Edwina Brown | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Stacey Thomas | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Shaquala Williams * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rhonda Mapp | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chandra Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter