Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +34 (81-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Azzi * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gwen Jackson * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 22 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Semeka Randall | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sylvia Crawley | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| LaTonya Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 5 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| LaQuanda Quick | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 27 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Coquese Washington * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 23 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie White | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Leigh Aziz | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter