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Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - โœ—
Margin 30.6% 69.4% - โœ—
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (74-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Janeth Arcain * 38 5-12 0-0 6-6 3 4 3 0 2 16 12 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 36 7-15 1-3 6-8 5 6 2 1 2 21 18 -
Tina Thompson * 34 5-13 2-4 1-3 5 0 1 1 4 13 3 -
Michelle Snow * 29 5-8 0-0 5-5 8 2 1 2 0 15 20 -
Ukari Figgs * 25 0-3 0-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
Dominique Canty 23 2-5 0-0 6-9 4 2 0 0 0 10 11 -
Tiffani Johnson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 40 4-19 0-3 4-6 9 1 1 1 5 12 0 -
Mwadi Mabika * 36 8-17 2-5 10-10 2 0 1 0 3 28 11 -
Nikki Teasley * 35 5-7 4-5 2-2 5 9 1 1 1 16 24 -
Tamecka Dixon * 28 3-10 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 3 6 1 -
Rhonda Mapp * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 2 10 -
Jennifer Gillom 15 2-6 1-3 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
Sophia Witherspoon 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Nicky McCrimmon 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter