Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -2 (65-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 36 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 32 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Rita Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mactabene Amachree | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Danielle McCulley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 30 | 2-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson | 15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Coleman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Debbie Black | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter