Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (68-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deanna Nolan * | 38 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Sheila Lambert | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Stephanie White * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 23 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Nikki McCray | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coquese Washington | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter