Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (62-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Robinson * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 33 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tari Phillips * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Elena Baranova | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 27 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Coleman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Debbie Black | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter