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Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 16.5% 83.5% - โœ—
Margin 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (60-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Yolanda Griffith * 40 7-12 0-1 10-13 10 2 1 0 2 24 23 -
Tangela Smith * 30 3-10 0-1 1-2 6 3 1 1 2 7 6 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 28 3-6 1-2 0-2 1 5 4 0 3 7 8 -
Edna Campbell * 26 5-8 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 13 9 -
DeMya Walker * 25 0-4 0-0 2-6 5 1 2 0 1 2 5 -
Kara Lawson 20 3-7 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Lady Grooms 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
La'Keshia Frett 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ruthie Bolton 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tamecka Dixon * 40 8-14 1-4 3-4 5 4 0 1 2 20 14 -
Lisa Leslie * 40 7-15 0-2 2-2 7 1 1 5 4 16 11 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 39 3-10 0-3 7-8 9 3 1 1 2 13 15 -
Nikki Teasley * 36 2-10 0-5 2-3 4 3 1 0 5 6 -1 -
Sophia Witherspoon * 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 3 1 -
Nicky McCrimmon 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Chandra Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Rhonda Mapp 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jennifer Gillom 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter