Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (79-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Simone Edwards * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 28 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Adia Barnes * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Rita Williams | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alisa Burras | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 26 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stephanie White | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter