Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +15 (64-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 37 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jennifer Azzi * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Gwen Jackson * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| LaTonya Johnson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Sylvia Crawley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mfon Udoka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Octavia Blue | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter