Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -9 (73-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruth Riley * | 41 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Elaine Powell * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 36 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ayana Walker | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Petra Ujhelyi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykesha Sales * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 10-14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Debbie Black | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Katie Douglas | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Courtney Coleman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter