Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +40 (93-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Azzi * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Gwen Jackson * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Semeka Randall | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sylvia Crawley | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| LaQuanda Quick | 10 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| LaTonya Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tausha Mills | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tai Dillard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Adia Barnes * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 21 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sun Min Jung | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rita Williams | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alisa Burras | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter