Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Rockers | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (70-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Rockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merlakia Jones * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Helen Darling * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Lucienne Berthieu * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| LaToya Thomas | 24 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 19 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Rizzotti | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tracy Henderson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Johnson * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Adrienne Johnson * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rebecca Lobo * | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Debbie Black | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Wendy Palmer | 18 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Coleman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jessie Hicks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter