Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Feaster * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Dawn Staley * | 32 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Andrea Stinson * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Charlotte Smith * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Rushia Brown | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Teana Miller | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shalonda Enis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marla Brumfield | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 12-13 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Stephanie White * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sonja Henning | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter