Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (100-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 11-21 | 6-8 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 40 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Walt Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evan Eschmeyer | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antoine Rigaudeau | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 44 | 10-26 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 38 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 35 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kendall Gill | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Gary Trent | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Igor Rakocevic | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter