Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +28 (121-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Andersen * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 27 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 24 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 30 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Camby | 16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Mark Blount | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rodney White | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 31 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 17-21 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 32 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 25 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Robert Horry | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Devean George | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mark Madsen | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tracy Murray | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter