Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -2 (101-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 44 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 40 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| John Stockton * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Amaechi | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 45 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 42 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 40 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| James Posey * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Terence Morris | 35 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter