Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +6 (97-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 40 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jerome James * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry | 24 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ansu Sesay | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 28 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Michael Redd | 25 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ervin Johnson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
* = starter