Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +21 (105-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzen Wright * | 41 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 40 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 39 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 25 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Cezary Trybanski | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 39 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| John Stockton * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter