Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -14 (87-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 43 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zach Randolph | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Travis Best * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House | 25 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Mike James | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter