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Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“
Margin 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +9 (89-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Andre Miller * 34 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 0 3 4 5 -
Elton Brand * 32 6-12 0-0 6-7 6 3 1 2 3 18 15 -
Lamar Odom * 25 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 8 2 -
Sean Rooks * 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
Corey Maggette * 17 3-11 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 -1 -
Quentin Richardson 30 5-12 2-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 12 10 -
Melvin Ely 28 6-8 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 0 1 14 13 -
Eric Piatkowski 22 1-2 0-1 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
Chris Wilcox 15 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
Keyon Dooling 13 3-7 1-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 8 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Mehmet Okur * 37 7-14 1-3 4-5 11 0 0 2 1 19 17 -
Clifford Robinson * 33 6-17 1-5 4-5 7 6 2 2 3 17 14 -
Richard Hamilton * 28 3-14 1-4 3-4 2 2 1 0 1 10 0 -
Chauncey Billups * 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 8 5 -
Michael Curry * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Corliss Williamson 25 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
Chucky Atkins 25 3-10 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 8 0 -
Tayshaun Prince 25 4-4 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 10 12 -
Jon Barry 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 3 8 -
Hubert Davis 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Danny Manning 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter