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Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 63.5% 36.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% - โœ—
Margin 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +24 (108-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Doug Christie * 32 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 3 0 4 8 3 -
Peja Stojakovic * 30 8-17 4-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 20 8 -
Mike Bibby * 29 5-12 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 11 1 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 23 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
Vlade Divac * 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 6 7 -
Keon Clark 33 3-10 0-0 4-4 9 1 1 1 2 10 10 -
Jim Jackson 26 8-17 1-1 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 19 11 -
Damon Jones 18 0-7 0-3 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 0 5 -
Gerald Wallace 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 0 -
Mateen Cleaves 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jamal Mashburn * 33 10-17 4-7 2-2 4 5 3 0 5 26 16 -
George Lynch * 33 3-6 2-2 0-0 6 7 2 0 2 8 15 -
P.J. Brown * 31 6-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 0 1 14 17 -
David Wesley * 27 6-15 2-5 3-3 3 9 4 0 1 17 17 -
Jamaal Magloire * 25 4-13 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 1 0 10 8 -
Jerome Moiso 20 5-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 1 2 13 13 -
Courtney Alexander 17 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Robert Pack 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 0 2 -
Robert Traylor 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Elden Campbell 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
Stacey Augmon 9 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Bryce Drew 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter