Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +40 (114-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 40 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jerome James * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brent Barry | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Joseph Forte | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tony Delk | 27 | 9-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 19 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Grant Long | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter