Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (89-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 47 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 37 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zach Randolph | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 41 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 38 | 10-27 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 23 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Pat Burke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter