Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +14 (103-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 44 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 41 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 39 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 39 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 33 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jason Collier | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terence Morris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 43 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 30 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Gill | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Igor Rakocevic | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marc Jackson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gary Trent | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter