Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -3 (95-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Davis * | 43 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 34 | 11-24 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 35 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Bradley | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Cassell * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 34 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Michael Redd | 30 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jason Caffey | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter