Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (94-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 12-31 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Robert Horry | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Devean George | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 42 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 37 | 11-22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 35 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 26 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 21 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
* = starter