Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (102-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 43 | 5-22 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Robinson | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Corie Blount | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jay Williams | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Eddy Curry | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 43 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rodney White | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 28 | 5-16 | 2-11 | 6-8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter