Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (115-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 48 | 8-24 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 43 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 29 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Robinson | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Corie Blount | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jay Williams | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Eddy Curry | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Outlaw * | 51 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 47 | 13-26 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 24 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 44 | 14-22 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 22 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 37 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Randy Brown | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Scott Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter