Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +1 (109-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 49 | 13-25 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 46 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 45 | 5-19 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jerome James * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brent Barry | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 46 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 43 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 28 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 43 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Kerry Kittles * | 37 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Lucious Harris | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter