Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (103-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 45 | 8-24 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Vin Baker | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tony Delk | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Grant Long | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Lynch * | 42 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 39 | 12-19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| David Wesley * | 39 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Robert Pack | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Alexander | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter