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Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—
Margin 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—

Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (100-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elton Brand * 37 7-17 0-0 3-5 19 2 3 2 4 17 22 -
Andre Miller * 37 5-11 0-0 4-4 5 3 0 0 2 14 9 -
Corey Maggette * 32 7-16 2-4 3-4 2 2 1 0 2 19 6 -
Lamar Odom * 29 5-9 0-1 9-10 5 2 1 1 4 19 15 -
Sean Rooks * 28 0-6 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Quentin Richardson 25 1-6 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 -
Melvin Ely 23 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 1 5 10 -
Eric Piatkowski 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Keyon Dooling 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Marko Jaric 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
Chris Wilcox 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Davis * 38 6-15 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 1 1 12 8 -
Jerome Williams * 34 7-9 0-0 2-5 9 0 2 1 1 16 18 -
Morris Peterson * 30 1-8 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Alvin Williams * 28 4-9 1-2 0-0 2 9 1 0 1 9 11 -
Vince Carter * 27 6-13 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 0 14 6 -
Voshon Lenard 33 9-16 4-6 8-8 6 1 2 1 0 30 24 -
Rafer Alston 22 4-12 1-3 0-0 2 6 1 1 4 9 3 -
Michael Bradley 20 4-5 0-1 0-0 11 0 0 0 2 8 12 -
Zendon Hamilton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter