Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +16 (105-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 36 | 11-16 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keon Clark | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 17 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves | 6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 39 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 34 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 32 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Terence Morris | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Collier | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter