Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -19 (95-114). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 32 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Scottie Pippen * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jeff McInnis | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 18 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Zach Randolph | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 6-20 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 28 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 29 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyrone Hill | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter