Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (97-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 44 | 14-37 | 5-16 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 14 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Pat Burke | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Corey Benjamin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter