Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +5 (109-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 15-23 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 24 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Alexander | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| George Lynch | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jordan * | 43 | 18-33 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 21 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Juan Dixon | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Simmons | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter