Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +13 (90-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 42 | 10-25 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Corie Blount | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Robinson | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jay Williams | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eddy Curry | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 41 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 41 | 5-20 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jerome James * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak | 11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ansu Sesay | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter