Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (99-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calbert Cheaney * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 39 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| John Stockton * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 43 | 12-25 | 2-3 | 16-18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 26 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Robert Horry | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Devean George | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter