Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (109-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 44 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 27 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tony Delk | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Vin Baker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Grant Long | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 40 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter