Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +12 (102-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Davis * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 31 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Bradley | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter