Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +8 (102-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 32 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Bob Sura | 29 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 39 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| John Stockton * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 26 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter