Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -11 (113-124). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 14-29 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 40 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 31 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Devean George | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 38 | 11-21 | 5-7 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 30 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 30 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Keon Clark | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Damon Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter