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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Margin 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (107-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Rose * 36 5-11 2-6 4-4 1 1 1 0 4 16 4 -
Donyell Marshall * 26 4-11 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
Jamal Crawford * 25 4-6 1-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 11 7 -
Tyson Chandler * 22 5-11 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
Trenton Hassell * 19 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 -
Eddie Robinson 28 3-5 0-0 4-5 2 3 0 0 2 10 8 -
Jay Williams 22 2-5 0-1 1-4 3 5 1 0 2 5 7 -
Marcus Fizer 21 6-10 0-0 5-5 4 2 0 0 2 17 11 -
Eddy Curry 17 4-8 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 1 0 10 8 -
Fred Hoiberg 9 0-1 0-0 1-1 2 1 2 0 0 1 5 -
Corie Blount 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
Rick Brunson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasheed Wallace * 35 10-18 5-9 3-4 8 1 1 2 2 28 20 -
Bonzi Wells * 33 4-8 0-1 0-0 4 7 2 0 4 8 9 -
Derek Anderson * 30 4-10 1-3 5-7 4 6 0 0 1 14 13 -
Scottie Pippen * 27 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 6 0 0 1 6 7 -
Dale Davis * 26 6-7 0-0 5-6 13 2 1 0 1 17 25 -
Damon Stoudamire 21 1-6 0-0 2-2 5 6 0 0 1 4 8 -
Arvydas Sabonis 19 6-11 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 1 2 13 9 -
Ruben Patterson 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 6 0 -
Jeff McInnis 16 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
Zach Randolph 7 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Qyntel Woods 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter