Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +17 (89-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| David Wesley * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Alexander | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Robert Traylor | 20 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| George Lynch | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin * | 43 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 41 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kerry Kittles * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Lucious Harris | 24 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Childs | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter