Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LA Clippers -6 (92-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 3-8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 40 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 40 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 20 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 30 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Randy Brown | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Scott Williams | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 40 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 39 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Cherokee Parks | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 18 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter